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โš ๏ธ Investment Risks ยท Lesson 1 of 5 ยท 5 min

The Risk You Can Diversify and the Risk You Can't

๐ŸŒŠ A rising tide lifts all boats, and a falling one sinks most of them. Owning 500 stocks protects you from one bad company, not from a bad market.

๐Ÿ’ก Key idea

Diversification shrinks unsystematic (company) risk, never systematic (market) risk. Beta measures exposure to market moves.

๐Ÿง  Why it matters

SYSTEMATIC (market) risk hits the whole market or economy: recessions, broad sell-offs, interest-rate and inflation shocks. Diversifying across many stocks cannot remove it. UNSYSTEMATIC risk belongs to one company or industry: a failed product, a lawsuit, poor management (business risk), or a rule change aimed at one sector. Spreading money across many unrelated holdings can greatly reduce it. BETA measures a stock's historical volatility relative to the market, so it gauges systematic risk. Beta 1.0 = moves with the market; 1.5 = tends to move about 50% more than the market in either direction; 0.5 = about half as much. A beta above 1 is not "better" or "worse"; it means larger swings both ways.

๐Ÿ“ˆ In the real world

๐Ÿ“‰ Jordan owns only Brightline Airlines, which grounds its fleet after a safety probe; her stock drops 40% while the market is flat. That is unsystematic risk. A year later a recession drags her diversified index fund down 20%. That is systematic risk, and no number of extra holdings would have prevented it.

๐Ÿ“Œ Takeaways

  • Systematic = market-wide and not diversifiable
  • Unsystematic = one company or industry, reduced by diversification
  • Beta > 1 swings more than the market; beta < 1 swings less

๐Ÿ“– Terms in this lesson

Systematic risk: Risk that affects the whole market and cannot be removed by diversification.

Unsystematic risk: Risk specific to one company or industry, which diversification can reduce.

Beta: A measure of a stock's volatility compared with the market; a beta of 1.0 moves in line with the market.

SYSTEMATIC = THE WHOLE SYSTEM: Systematic risk hits the whole system, so diversification cannot remove it; unsystematic risk is one company's, so diversification can.

โœ… Test yourself

Which risk can be substantially reduced by owning many stocks across different industries?
  1. Interest rate risk
  2. Market risk
  3. Business risk
  4. Inflation risk

Answer: C ยท Business risk

Business risk is company-specific (unsystematic), so diversification reduces it. Market, inflation and interest rate risk affect the whole market and are systematic.

A stock has a beta of 1.4. If the overall market falls 10%, the stock would be expected to:
  1. Fall about 4%
  2. Rise about 14%
  3. Fall about 14%
  4. Fall about 10%

Answer: C ยท Fall about 14%

Beta 1.4 means the stock has tended to move about 1.4 times the market, so 1.4 ร— 10% โ‰ˆ 14% down. It moves in the same direction as the market, not opposite, and 10% would be a beta of 1.0.

Beta is a measure of which type of risk?
  1. Credit (default) risk
  2. Unsystematic (company) risk
  3. Liquidity risk
  4. Systematic (market) risk

Answer: D ยท Systematic (market) risk

Beta compares a security's movements with the market's, so it measures exposure to systematic risk. It says nothing about how easy a security is to sell, an issuer's default odds or company-specific events.

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